Interesting, but you're assuming that what was foreseeable to you, said in hindsight btw, must have been foreseeable to everyone involved.

Isn't that the sort logic a good lawyer would shred on a witness stand?

I haven't seen any evidence from the time period expressinf foreknowledge of how men would react, or fail to react depending upon one's perspective, to changing circumstances. Indeed, from what I've seen, most people were pretty hopeful.