I do. And I can't disagree with much of that.
I also see that you're stuck in "the rules of now" thinking and discounting adaptations.
Once the power structures goes and the fallout from that dissipates, the rules change. Those who can adapt around that will make it.
Things like growing ones own food rather than getting it from industrial farms. You don't need a lot of skill to grow most garden variety vegetables or fruits. Most greens pracrically grow themselves. There'll be less concern about "pretty" food and mass productivity once we go back to family small farms. We do have tech and knowledge now to grow more in smaller spaces. Small animals for protein rather than beef and pork.
I should have said more resources in place to scavenge. I wasn't meaning supply lines would continue as is, though I do think they'll collapse in larger cities last as those places generally have more purchasing power.
Water will be a problem. Though again once the govt collapses, the rules change. People will be more able to band together and enact solutions rather than wait and depend on bureaucracy. Many cities grew up along water sources.
We just have tonacceot that we're going to have to change how we do things about pretty much everything. Those who don't embrace that will be the ones to die off for the most part. We can survive without a wheat based diet. Many a thriving culture has before us. Once folks start abandoning the cities, their digs can be salvaged, utilized, and converted by those who stay behind.
Everything will change. On the plus side too, we won't have all our time trapped in meaningless jobs anymore. The weird annual schedules of the corporate world.
Don't get me wrong, I still agree the death toll will be extremely high. I live in a city of 7 million. A 90% die off still leaves 700,000. That's enough for the city to overhaul itself, become sustainable, and become a trade center for half the state.
The rules of how things get done and how we do things and live our lives need a chance to adapt first though. Blow the stank off, as the expression goes.
See my thinking too?
